Equity Bye Bye - Asset Allocations Are a Changin'
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According to Financial Times reporter Deborah Brewster ("Investors pull out of mutual funds," April 27, 2008), nearly all U.S. mutual fund managers saw a drop in assets in Q1-2008. Sagging returns are a main driver on the retail side. Citing Strategic Insight, Brewster writes that individuals and institutions have pulled $100 billion from American, European and Japanese equity funds.
Money market funds, charging lower fees, seem to be picking up the slack. This suggests an inevitable decline in profitability for the asset management business. In "Has the Financial Industry's Heyday Come and Gone?" (April 28, 2008) Wall Street Journal reporter Justin Lahart writes that "the businesses of borrowing, lending, investing and all of the middlemen in between" are slowing and thereby creating ripples throughout the U.S. economy. With documented job cuts in the financial sector, new regulations and questions about "excess" risk, a discernible shift is underway. A shrinking financial sector and reduced availability of credit hits consumers and corporations hard.
In addition, defined benefit plans are moving assets away from equity to alternatives and fixed income. In "CalPERS to shift $44 billion" (December 24, 2007), Pensions & Investments reporter Raquel Pichardo describes the giant retirement plan's move into international equity, real estate, private equity and a "new inflation-linked asset class." On April 17, 2008, New York Times reporter Mary Williams Walsh offers insight into what some of American's biggest plan sponsors are doing to manage market volatility. Referring to a new study by Evaluation Associates in "Market Turmoil Has Taken a Toll on Big Pension Funds," Walsh writes that General Motors, Ford, Boeing and Deere are a few of the large plans to turn from equities.
The issue is important for many reasons, not the least of which is the impact on statutory funding requirements, cash flow and related share price. In March 2008, money manager Charles Gilbert spoke to a Society of Actuaries audience about the double whammy of falling interest rates (increases the defined benefit liabilty) and unhealthy stock returns (reduces portfolio value).

