Fundfire Q&A About Consultant's In-House Products

A few days ago, I was asked to provide an answer to a FundFire reader's question regarding possible conflicts of interest. I've included the question and published answer below. (See "Your Q&A: How to Vet Consultant's In-House Products?" by Dr. Susan Mangiero and Mr. Wayne Miller, Fundfire.com, August 25, 2008.)

"Question: What can an institutional investor do to protect against conflicts of interest if a consultant recommends an in-house investment product? Third-Party Marketer, Institutional, East Coast

Answer: When reviewing an investment in a consultant’s in-house product, the plan sponsor decision-makers should first and foremost review their own fiduciary duties to participants (ideally with plan counsel) and the implications that such a selection would have on those obligations. Without a full understanding of such obligations, it is impossible to know when, how and why a fiduciary breach might occur. In the event that the consulting firm contracts as a fiduciary to the pension plan, the plan sponsor should likewise seek counsel regarding any implications for asset allocation and money manager recommendations made by the consultant.

Notwithstanding the important fiduciary considerations, it is vital to understand the process by which the consultant arrives at recommending one of its own offerings. Countless questions arise. Will the consultant earn higher fees by recommending an in-house fund? Are those higher fees justified? Is the in-house offering 'suitable' on a risk-adjusted basis? Are there 'better' available investment choices offered by third parties?

It’s important to clarify whether the consultant will be able to objectively fire an in-house or outsourced manager if performance is ever deemed sub-par. An institution must also determine whether the consultant is displaying full transparency about the selection, monitoring and termination process within the offering. Always remember that a plan sponsor must be able to discern the line of demarcation between authentic fiduciary representation by the consultant and the consultant’s own self-interest. Delegation does not eliminate the need for continued oversight on the part of the plan sponsor fiduciaries."

Editor's Note: For further reading, check out the following resources.

Fannie Mae Gets a New Chief Risk Officer

According to Wall Street Journal reporters, James R. Hagerty and Aparajita Saha-Burna, musical chairs are moving at the nation's giant mortgage house. Besides a new chief business officer and CFO, the former Senior Vice President for Credit Risk Oversight takes the lead on all things risk. Exiting the  company is the former Chief Risk Officer ("CRO"). (See "Fannie Mae Names New Officers in Shake-Up, August 28, 2008)

According to a May 18, 2006 press release issued by the Federal National Mortgage Association ("Fannie Mae") (ticker symbol FNM), the Chief Risk Officer now being replaced came onboard to lead the "credit market, counterparty and operational risk oversight for all business units within Fannie Mae." Before joining, he headed the market risk management efforts for "the chief investment office and retail financial services" at a large bank. In that same May 18 announcement, the then Chief Business Officer (now departing) commented on the new "One Fannie Mae" approach, "with a rigorous, unified and analytical discipline."

If you are not asking already, let me do it for you. What happened since 2006? 

The Fannie Mae website boasts a "Risk Policy and Capital Committee Charter" (last amended on November 20, 2007) that exists for the purpose of assisting the Board in "overseeing Fannie Mae's capital management and risk management, including overseeing the management of credit risk, market risk, liquidity risk, and operational risk." Members are charged with duties that include risk management oversight and recommendations relating to enterprise risk.

I repeat. What happened? Inquiring minds want to know - shareholders, taxpayers and oh yes, retirement plan participants, including those of plan sponsors that invested in Fannie Mae.

As confirmed by the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation ("PBGC"), the Fannie Mae defined benefit plan is an insured plan. If financial woes continue (as suggested by some), could taxpayers be asked to fund a bailout of shareholders as well as a bailout of retirees (in the event that PBGC itself needs help)? (On December 8, 2007, this blog cited TheWashBiz Blog as saying that the Fannie Mae plan would be closed to new employees.)

In a related Wall Street Journal article (entitled "Pension Funds Watch Fannie, Freddie," August 28, 2008), reporter Daisy Maxey lists some public plan notables who hold more than a few shares. Here's another thought. Is a triple taxpayer play a possibility, if things get "too bad?"

  • Taxpayers bail out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac shareholders
  • PBGC takes over Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac defined benefit pension plans
  • Taxpayers bail out the PBGC (if the insurance premiums prove insufficient to pay retirees of "assumed" plans)
  • State taxpayers are asked to help public plans that invested in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

As an aside, it would be quite interesting to know what kinds of risk management related questions were asked by pension plan investors of these government-sponsored entities ("GSE"). For those plans that are now exposed as the result of indexing, the situation is somewhat difficult. How can a plan exit a particular position if it has specifically allocated part of its portfolio to an identified index (part of a pure passive strategy) and that index includes a "troubled" security?  

New Jersey Gets Okay to Invest $9 Billion in Alternatives

Star-Ledger reporter, Dunstan McNichol, reports of a now-settled legal tussle between municipal worker unions and the State of New Jersey ("Court OK's Jersey plan to invest pension money in hedge funds," August 23, 2008). At the heart of the matter is The Garden State's desire to allocate 10+ percent of its $78 billion retirement system assets to hedge funds and other non-traditional investments as a way to avoid getting slammed when stock markets sour. (Unions have described alternatives as risky.) At the same time, "Court lets NJ invest pension money in hedge funds" (The Associated Press, August 23, 2008), reports a recent actuarial analysis that puts the shortfall as bigger than originally believed, due to a surge in police and firefighters who "are retiring with disabilities."

According to statistics published by the State of New Jersey, Department of the Treasury, Division of Investment, the alternatives portfolio (commodities, real estate, private equity and hedge funds is 11.7 percent (versus a target allocation of 10.3 percent) as of June 30, 2008. In its press release, dated July 15, 2008, the recent loss of 3.1 percent (at mid-year 2008) still leaves a five-year average return of 9.1 percent, higher than "the assumed actuarial investment return of 8.25 percent." Division Director William Clark credits alternatives for avoiding a loss of approximately $3 billion, had the pension's asset mix "not been diversified away from its historic concentration purely on equities and bonds."

New Jersey is not alone in seeking alternatives as a diversifier. Yet there remains a critical question as to when and why equities are deemed "riskier" than alternatives. Of course, one must be particularly careful with his or her answer. Market capitalization, strategy, relevant time period, restrictions on transferability and industry and economic fundamentals are a few of the many determinants of risk (financial and otherwise) that distinguish traditional equity holdings from alternatives.

Editor's Note: To learn more about official symbols, including the State Seal, visit the State of New Jersey website.

CalPERS Invests in Infrastructure

According to blogger extraordinaire and Sacramento Bee reporter Jon Ortiz , the California giant will now invest in "PPP" (public private partnership) deals but with strings attached. According to their policy entitled "Infrastructure Program," posted on "The State Worker" and elsewhere, projects to build bridges, roads and other types of infrastructure should avoid displacement of California municipal workers "provided that CalPERS' fiduciary responsibilities are met." Subsequent text adds that "the investment vehicle shall make every good faith effort to ensure that such transactions have no more than a de minimus adverse impact on existing jobs."

Far be it from me to impugn any group of workers, municipal or private. However, one does wonder if CalPERS and infrastructure fund managers will soon find themselves at loggerheads. If I read the policy correctly, it seems to put an awful lot of responsibility on external portfolio managers to address wage differentials (if any exist) for the express purpose of assessing the cost-effectiveness of labor resources. Employment economics is a speciality in its own right. Should infrastructure moneymen (and women) hire outside experts to undertake a comprehensive study to determine whether private versus public workers are best suited for a particular project? How might such fees, paid to labor economists by money managers but passed along to institutional investors such as CalPERS, erode reported returns? Could returns be eroded by so much that the benefits of investing in infrastructure in the first place are more than offset by CalPERS' mandate to avoid loss of state jobs?

According to Brian K. Miller ("CalPERS Changing PPP Language," GlobeSt.com, August 15, 2008), the California Public Employees Retirement System ("CalPERS") altered its policy so as not to be sued by the Professional Engineers in California Government ("PECG"). The American Council of Engineering Companies of California (the private equivalent of the PECG) countered that threat of litigation does no one any good.

Does this type of allegedly veiled political "intervention" sound familiar?

Just a few days ago, Massachusetts State Treasurer Tim Cahill said "no thanks" to Governor Deval Patrick, when asked to allocate pension assets to bonds issued by the state's student loan organization. In "Cahill rejects student-loan proposal" by Casey Ross (The Boston Globe, August 8, 2008), fiduciary concerns are front and center. In "Massachusetts Pension Plan Urged to Invest in School Loans" (August 8, 2008 blog post), I wrote as follows:

Here's the rub. The state pension trustees have a fiduciary duty to make sure that the plan is in good financial shape. Will statutory investing put those fiduciaries at risk for allegations of breach in the event that MEFA bonds sour or perhaps offer a sub-optimal return?

I think the same principle applies to the CalPERS decision, sending mixed signals about competing constituencies - state engineers versus plan participants. Complicating things, could state workers win now by keeping their jobs (for certain infrastructure projects) but lose later on if infrastructure investments fare poorly due to labor-related cost issues and so on?

What a dilemma!

Public Pensions and Hedge Funds

In "States Double Down on Hedge Funds as Returns Slide," Bloomberg reporters Adam Cataldo and Michael McDonald (August 14, 2008) suggest that public pensions may get a double whammy if alternative investments go south. New York, New Jersey, South Carolina and Massachusetts are just a few of the large public plans now allocating monies to non-traditional investments such as hedge funds, real estate and private equity. This is not necessarily good or bad though one wonders about the timing. Will current market volatility help or hinder plans in search of higher returns? This blogger is quoted as follows:

"It doesn't come risk-free," said Susan Mangiero, president of Pension Governance, LLC, a research firm based in Trumbull, Connecticut. "You could end up having a worse performance and the chain of events is lower funding status and increased taxes."

Managing director Eileen Neill, with Wilshire Associates, states the need to "diversify some of the equity risk" and to attempt strategies that will help match the growth in liabilities. As I told the Bloomberg reporters (though not included in this article), how one measures diversification potential is key to understand. Correlation analysis only goes so far when markets are turbulent and bad news tends to adversely impact otherwise uncorrelated markets. Additionally, correlation assumes a linear relationship when comparing returns for a particular investment pair (hedge fund versus a large cap equity index for example). When the relationship is non-linear, correlation is less useful as a gauge of potential risk reduction.

Just as important, past is not prologue. Assessing historical returns can be misleading at best. Stan Rupnik, Chief Investment Officer at the Teachers' Retirement System of the State of Illinois, is quoted as saying that "Chasing performance, especially in a public fund, can be a dangerous thing." It is important for trustees to make sure that "what if" analysis is being done on a regular basis, taking into account relevant risk drivers. Consider private equity and venture capital. An accelerating credit crisis has made it extremely difficult for companies to go public or for potential suitors to finance their bid. As a result, returns suffer. No surprise that pension investors (and their plan participants) take a hit too.

Editor's Note:

Pensions for Sale?



According to "Now Wall Street Wants Your Pension, Too" by Matthew Goldstein (Business Week, August 5, 2008), troubled banks have no business fiddling around with pension caretaking.  Citing a $2.3 trillion "pension honey pot" that could grow to $7+ trillion in a few years, Goldstein says pension buyouts would be a great prize for investment banks, hedge funds, private equity funds and insurers. (Editor's Note: I've seen estimates of much larger numbers but the message is the same. There is thought to be "gold in them thar hills.)

What motivates advocates of the pension transfer movement? Let me count the ways. More than a few corporations may seize the opportunity to clean up their balance sheets and income statements as new accounting rules kick in, making "problems" more visible to shareholders. Some posit that taxpayers benefit if certain plans are transferred to stronger financial buyers, giving these plan sponsors a fighting chance to steer clear of bankruptcy court. As a result, the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation ("PBGC"), could arguably stablilize or even reduce its $14+ billion deficit. (Though the PBGC is technically funded by insurance premiums paid by plan sponsors, experts suggest that mounting IOUs could potentially result in a bailout by Uncle Sam.)

This trend to take over pension liabilities by third parties, popular in the UK, seems to have hit a snag in the U.S. According to an August 6, 2008 press release ("Treasury, IRS Issue Ruling Preventing Certain Pension Transfers"), newly issued Revenue Ruling 2008-45 states that "a transfer of a tax-qualified pension plan from an employer to an unrelated taxpayer when the transfer is not connected with a transfer of significant business assets, operations, or employees, is not permissible under current law. This is clearly a big disappointment to Wall Street as banks have been busy at work, assembling teams to value pension liabilities and trade them, in anticipation of developing a lucrative transfer business.

Accompanying this somewhat rare tax promulgation, readers are told of legislative preferences on the part of the current Administration (IRS, U.S. Department of Labor, U.S. Department of Commerce and the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation) that might eventually open the door to pension liability sales. Relevant text is excerpted below:

"Under the legislative framework, a pension plan (or portion of a plan) under which benefits are no longer accruing (i.e. a frozen plan) could be transferred to an entity unrelated to the employer (or former employer) of the participants in the plan, provided that certain conditions are met. The conditions would reflect the following fundamental requirements:

  • Plan participants, their representatives, and ERISA regulators would be required to receive advance notice of a plan transfer, and the parties to the transaction would be required to provide regulators information necessary to review and approve the proposed transaction.
  • Only financially strong entities in well-regulated sectors would be permitted to acquire a pension plan in a plan transfer transaction.
  • The parties to the transaction would be required to demonstrate that participants' benefits and the pension insurance system would be exposed to less risk as a result of the transfer, and that the transfer would be in the best interests of the participants and beneficiaries.
  • Limitations on transfers would be imposed to limit undue concentration of risk.
  • Transferees and members of their controlled groups would assume full responsibility for the liabilities of transferred plan and would comply with post-transaction reporting and fiduciary requirements.
  • Subsequent transfer transactions would be subject to the rules applicable to original transfer transactions."

Don't count the financial institutions out yet. No doubt the next Congress is likely to receive a lot of inquiries from the bank lobby to initiate legislation in favor of pension buyouts. On the positive side, well-capitalized and properly managed banks and other types of money powerhouses could draw on sophisticated risk analytics to strengthen plans. In contrast, poor risk management practices could worsen things. (See "Bank Risk Managers - Missing in Action," November 26, 2007.)

The fiduciary question is of course a big one. Is there a  possibility that a financial institution takes over a pension plan and finds itself in the uncomfortable position of being loyal to plan participants at the expense of shareholders or vice versa? Cynthia Mallett, Vice President, Corporate Benefit Funding, Met Life adds that "Stranger-owned pension plans raise both philosophical and public policy issues, none more telling than the potential for placing plan participants' interests in the hands of unrelated investors who are not regulated in the same fashion as insurers." 

ERISA Attorney Dan Wintz, partner with Fraser Stryker PC, offers the following insight. "While the practice of 'selling' pension plans and transferring their sponsorship to unrelated companies (that is, speculator or investment companies that do not employ the participants covered by the plan) has not yet become widespread, it is heartening to see that the Internal Revenue Service intervened early. However, the Ruling may be overly broad in its application and could prohibit or impede some plan transfers in legitimate re-organizations or other transactions that do not involve the direct transfer of business assets, operations, or employees from the employer to the unrelated taxpayer which will maintain the plan. We will have to see whether this is an absolute prohibition (as appears to be stated in the Ruling) or if it can be applied on a 'facts and circumstances' basis where there is a legitimate business purpose for the arrangement and there are protections for the plan's participants."

A fellow of the Society of Actuaries, David Godofsky, partner with Alston + Bird LLP and leader of the Employee Benefits and Executive Compensation Group, concurs that buyouts may serve a vital function. His comments are provided below.

"As for the meaning, the ruling was rather narrowly tailored to a specific fact pattern, which has been widely discussed and known as "selling" pension plans. Here is a very simplified version of the basic idea:

  • Company X has a frozen pension plan with assets of $100 million and liabilities of $100 million. The liabilities are measured by reference to mortality tables and interest rates that are intended to approximate the cost of buying annuities, or the cost of funding those pension benefits when very safe investments are used. In other words, the assumed rate of return on the $100 million of assets is very low, reflecting investments that are nearly risk free.
  • However, Company Y believes it can invest the assets of the plan to achieve a higher rate of return. If it does so successfully, there will be money left over when all benefits are satisfied... possibly a LOT of money.
  • So Company Y offers to buy the pension plan from Company X. A shell corporation ("ShellCo") is formed as a sub of Company X, and then ShellCo assumes the pension plan from Company X. Company X sells ShellCo to Company Y for $2 million.
  • Company Y has no employees and no other assets. Company Y invests the $100 million in investments designed to beat the low assumed rate of return. The assets grow to $120.
  • Company Y then buys annuities to cover the liability for $100 million, and is left with a pension plan with no liabilities and $20 million. It then finds a company with an underfunded plan - Company Z.
  • Company Z is willing to buy ShellCo for $20 million, and merges the pension plan into its own. So, everyone comes out ahead. X is ahead by $2 million and Y is ahead by $18 million.
  • BUT, suppose that Company Y doesn't do so well. It invests the money aggressively, and the assets drop to $80 million instead of increasing to $120 million. Now, the owner of Company Y is insulated, and the PBGC steps in to cover the $20 million underfunding. X is now ahead by $2 million, Y has lost its $2 million investment. As you can see, if Y invests aggressively enough, it has a great upside and a limited downside. This is what is known as "heads I win, tails you lose."

The IRS ruling focused on whether Company Y has an relationship with the employees - that was the way they chose to get to this transaction. However, what is really going on is whether you can take over pension liabilities from another company and try to make a profit by investing the assets to "beat" the actuarially assumed rate of return. Obviously Company X can do that, but so can Company Y. The difference is that X is a real company with real employees and presumably assets at risk. With Company Y, you don't quite know what you have. There is a way of selling pension liabilities - it is to buy annuities. Insurance companies sell annuities and they have to maintain reserves and invest their assets in a way that avoids losses. Basically, the Company Y's of the world wanted to do the same thing without having to comply with all those pesky insurance regulations.

Bottom line - the transaction that the IRS prohibited has the potential for an increased risk to the PBGC and a corresponding gain to the buyer (reward without risk). Now, the challenge for the investment firms that wanted to do this is to come up with a regulatory approach that has financial protections that are as strong as the insurance regulations."

Editor's Notes: There are numerous articles about the UK buyout experience. A few of them are listed below, along with the link to the July 21, 2008 report about plan freezes, published by the U.S. Government Accountability Office ("GAO").

Expect more news on the topic of pension buyouts and transfers.

This blog welcomes a chance to publish the pension buyer perspective. Send us an email if you want to comment.

Seal of Approval for Hedge Funds

In a recent interview, Mr. Stanley Goldstein announced the creation of an industry watchdog group, led by the New York Hedge Fund Roundtable. Its goal is to self-enforce otherwise voluntary and "weak" hedge fund practices. (As I wrote in "Doris Day, Scarlett O'Hara and Financial Market Tumult," July 19, 2008, a July 17, 2008 Financial Times editorial refers to such guidelines as cosmetic, meant to attract institutional investors and to keep regulators at bay.)

Goldstein, a CPA and founder of several hedge funds, explains that the aim is "not to start a separate organization but to use the existing one to compile and disseminate standards for hedge funds to follow," adding that "We do not see enforcement as practical or desirable but rather, hope that 'industry usage' will evolve along the lines which we, and others like us, deem appropriate."

Goldstein's support of the free market to act as the ultimate enforcer is laudable, especially at a time when global regulators are far from silent about the need for more stringent rules. Will Adam Smith's "invisible hand" really work? Let's hope so. As this blogger as written many times before, regulations no doubt change the way market participants behave, often leading to the "Law of Unintended Consequences."

Goldstein strongly believes in the power of collective self-policing. "By analogy, you will notice that more and more not-for-profit organizations are beginning to create audit committees on their boards and some have adopted "whistle blower" policies. There was no mandate nor promulgation forcing them to do this. What happened? Donors asked questions and boards had no choice but to make sure the right boxes could be checked off or risk losing contributions, the lifeblood of funding. These charities are run by smart people who are taking the hint. They want to be good players. With luck, time and some coordination, we can edge hedge funds in the same direction."

In the absence of a serious industry attempt to do better (for those funds who are not already at the top of their game), new accounting rules (FAS 157 or IAS 39 for example) and/or regulators' admonitions (such as the U.S. Department of Labor's recent letter to a plan sponsor, urging them to do their own valuation homework) could cause institutional investors to shy away from alternative investments such as hedge funds. If true that alternatives might help to diversify a portfolio, then a rejection due to a statutory artifice (versus an economic exigency) would be yet another example of the "Law of Unintended Consequences." (Read "Regulators Tell Pensions to Independently Value Positions," August 9, 2008, to access the aforementioned letter about valuation.)

This blogger says "bravo" and wishes the New York Hedge Fund Roundtable the best of luck. If Pension Governance, LLC can be of assistance, count us in. We agree that volitional "best practice" attempts are almost always far superior to a "one size fits all" authoritative mandate.

Editor's Notes:

  • According to economist Adam Smith in his Wealth of Nations, "Every individual...generally, indeed, neither intends to promote the public interest, nor knows how much he is promoting it. By preferring the support of domestic to that of foreign industry he intends only his own security; and by directing that industry in such a manner as its produce may be of the greatest value, he intends only his own gain, and he is in this, as in many other cases, led by an invisible hand to promote an end which was no part of his intention." Click for more quotes by Adam Smith.
  • According to the Library of Economics and Liberty, the "Law of Unintended Consequences" states that "actions of people - and especially of government - always have effects that are unanticipated or 'unintended.'" The concept is related to Adam Smith's invisible hand theory wherein the famous economist wrote "It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker, that we can expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own self interest."
  • In aftermath of mandates such as FAS 133 (U.S. derivatives accounting standard) or FRS 17 (UK retirement benefit plan accounting standard), experts documented a clear change in the way impacted parties went about their business.
  • Interested readers can download "The Failings of FRS 17 and the Impact of Pensions on the UK Stock Market" by SEI researchers and Laurence Copeland (Cardiff Business School). The assertion is that, several years after its  2001 implementation, "the majority of UK pension schemes have closed to new entrants." In an attempt to promote transparency about retirement plans, the unintended effect is a diminution of aggregate employee benefits.
  • Another interesting publication is "The Impact of FAS 133 on the Risk Management Practices of End Users of Derivatives, "Association of Financial Professionals, September 2002. Researchers conclude that reduced hedging activity is likely due in part to the implementation of what users describe as an "excessive burden" in order to comply.
  • Regulators have called for more rules to govern non-profit boards, leading some to suggest that improvements are part "stick" as well as "carrot." For example, the Pension Protection Act of 2006 mandates enhanced disclosures and distribution limits for non-profits. Read "The Pension Protection Act of 2006 and Nonprofit Reforms" by Eileen Morgan Johnson, Whiteford, Taylor & Preston, LLP, January 2006. Also click to read "Nonprofit Governance In the United States" by Francie Ostrower, The Urban Institute, 2007. Click to access the Appendices to this paper.

UK Pensions in the Red

According to "Red alert for pension plans," The Scotsman reporter Teresa Hunter enlightens readers about mammoth losses for pensions run by some of the UK's biggest 100 companies (August 10, 2008).  Describing the 41 billion pound sterling hit as "the largest downward swing since the dotcom bust six years ago," Hunter shocks by comparing the current status quo to a 12 billion GBP (Great British Pounds) surplus only 12 months ago. A collective infusion of 40 billion GBP and a reduction of "risk by cutting their exposure to the stock market from 59% to 53%" has done little to stem the tide. Recession, additional regulatory mandates, anemic stock market returns, new accounting rules (such as FRS 17 and/or IAS 19) and extended lifespans promise more pain.

Putting things in context, the reported loss is roughly 78 billion U.S. dollars (based on an August 8, 2008 GBP/USD exchange rate as reported by Oanda.com). Some significant takeaways from the 2008 report, published by actuarial firm, Lane Clark & Peacock, are telling:

  • Like the United States experience, many British firms no longer offer traditional benefits to new employees.
  • The pension IOUs for some plan sponsors exceed their respective market capitalization. (British Airways, BT and British Energy Group are examples.)
  • Conflicts of interest arise between shareholders who seek improved pension plan expense managment versus plan participants who want more benefits (or at least do not want benefits to be cut).
  • Trustees take a longer-term perspective than shareholders, often putting them at odds with respect to risk-taking.
  • Accounting reports vary because of company-specific inputs that likewise vary such as discount rate, expected asset portfolio rate of return and longevity assumptions.
  • Some companies do not use derivatives to manage risk, hoping for an improved funding situation in "due course" and/or wanting to avoid negotiating asset allocation with trustees (who have "unilateral control").
  • "Most trustees are not investment experts" and require additional training before making a decision about swaps, pension buyouts and/or change in investment policy.

In the spirit of The World is Flat by Thomas L. Friedman, it is pretty clear that members of the global retirement fiduciary community share most of the same concerns and economic realities. There are few countries that are immune to the panopoly of factors that result in higher costs.

Editor's Notes:

U.S. SEC and U.S. Department of Labor Join Forces

In its July 29, 2008 press release, two regulatory giants "formally recognize their effective and informal working relationships and their expectation of continued cooperation." This includes:

  • Regular meetings "to discuss matters of mutual interest"
  • Points of Contact "to facilitate communications between the SEC and DOL staffs"
  • Cross-training "in order to enhance each agency's understanding of the other's mission and investigative jurisdiction"
  • DOL Access to Non-Public SEC Examination Information "to facilitate the exchange of examination-related information concerning investment advisors or other firms of mutual interest to the SEC and the DOL"
  • SEC and DOL Access to Non-Public SEC and DOL Enforcement Information "to facilitate the exchange of enforcement-related information concerning investment advisors or other firms of mutual interest to the SEC and the DOL."

One wonders if this portends more scrutiny of pension plans and their service providers. Click to read "Memorandum of Understanding Concerning Cooperation Between the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and The U.S. Department of Labor" (July 29, 2008).

Regulators Tell Pensions to Independently Value Positions

According to reporter Doug Halonen, Beantown regulators have launched an inquiry into how corporate plan sponsors value their alternative fund investments. Upset with plans that have no process in place to verify mark-to-model or mark-to-market numbers from general partners, the head of the U.S. Department of Labor, Boston office, offers a warning. "It is incumbent on the Plan Administrator to establish a process to evaluate the fair market value of any hard to value assets held by the Plan." An absence of good process could be a violation of ERISA (Employee Retirement Income Security Act). The July 1, 2008 letter references parts of this federal law such as sections 402(a)(1), 103(b, 3(26), 404(a)(1)(B), 502(1) and 504(a). Invitation to scrutiny by the Internal Revenue Service might likewise occur if identical book values and market values show up on Form 5500s. (We've already seen this occur and puzzle over why plan sponsors think this is an appropriate way to disclose positions in alternative investments.)

Click to read "DOL targets plan valuation of alts" by Doug Halonen, Pensions & Investments, August 8, 2008.

This admonition is hardly news to this blogger. I've long been advocating (a) the use of an independent third party pricing professional and (b) the need for fiduciary training in this area. (Note: Email Pension Governance, LLC if you want to learn more about our pension risk management and valuation training programs and/or our abilities to assist plans with risk management/valuation process creation and review).

Several things come to mind.

  • How many pension fiduciaries feel comfortable doing a second check on the valuation of complex financial instruments, especially those that seldom trade? (As an Accredited Valuation Analyst, I can say firsthand that certification requires hours of specialized training  and case work.)
  •  If an alternative fund manager (hedge fund, private equity, commodities, real estate, etc) refuses to provide full transparency about its holdings, won't plan sponsors find themselves in the uncomfortable position of being unable to properly vet values?
  • How will pension consulting firms respond, especially if their teams do not include valuation savvy experts?
  • Will ERISA plan fiduciaries remain vulnerable to allegations of breach if they employ outside service providers such as consultants, appraisers and so on and do not conduct their own review?
  • If a plan sponsor conducts its own review, might they still be liable if they fail to do so regularly?
  • For positions that infrequently trade, how often should such a review take place?
  • Will valuation mandates (and the possible dire consequences of not having a "good" valuation process in place) discourage pensions from investing in alternatives?

Check out some of this blog's many posts about valuation, authored by Dr. Susan Mangiero, AIFA, AVA, CFA, FRM.

Send an email if you would like articles about valuation issues.

Massachusetts Pension Plan Urged to Invest in School Loans

According to journalist Casey Ross, Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick is asking the state retirement system to allocate $50 million to the student loan business by buying about to be issued MEFA bonds. According to their website, the Massachusetts Educational Financing Authority ("MEFA") regrets that it is "unable to secure funding due to increasingly difficult capital market conditions." Harvard University and local colleges are likewise encouraged to do their fair share. (Read "A late try to salvage student loans" by Casey Ross, Boston Globe, August 7, 2008.)

Even if one accepts the premise that granting school loans is a good thing, the issue remains. Should state executives mandate investment policy? The student loan organization cites a low default rate of less than one percent, asserting that the $51+ billion pension plan can thereby avail itself of a relatively safe investment.

Here's the rub. The state pension trustees have a fiduciary duty to make sure that the plan is in good financial shape. Will statutory investing put those fiduciaries at risk for allegations of breach in the event that MEFA bonds sour or perhaps offer a sub-optimal return?

A pension plan is a “trust” that is created to benefit the plan participants (in this case state workers). Legal counsel is likely to confirm that those in charge of the plan should be acting solely in the best interest of the plan participants (duty of loyalty). Additionally, are trustees deemed truly independent if they make a decision that is tied to political exigencies? Unless school loans can be assessed as a suitable investment for the pension plan (and maybe they can), one wonders if trustees "do good" for Massachusetts youth at the expense of retirees.

Pension Fund Governance in the Lonestar State

Hat tip to Robert Elder, journalist for American Statesman, who writes that a prominent Dallas financier has been jettisoned as chairman of the Texas Pension Review Board, "which oversees nearly 400 public pension systems that hold $200 billion in assets." In "Perry ousts head of pension board" (American Statesman, June 24, 2008), Elder describes Frederick Rowe as a vocal critic of alternative investment commitments by retirement plans that do not always fully consider risks.

According to its website, the Texas Pension Review Board has a variety of duties, including the oversight of "the actuarial analysis process" and making recommendations of "policies, practices, and legislation to public retirement systems and their sponsoring governments." If one clicks on "Tools," you can download the audio files of board meetings. The most recent one (dated April 10, 2008) is worth a listen as it centers on asset allocation and risk assessment with then Board Chairman Rowe criticizing a "backward-looking" approach to assessing investment performance and a reliance on investment consultants who advocate alternatives and "reduce what they call risk in patching together this crazy quilt of uncorrelated assets." (It's a large file and may take a few minutes to download.) 

In its "Written Investment Policies for Public Pension Systems," the section on risk is brief and focuses on the erosive impact of inflation and the possible gap between actuarial interest assumptions and realized performance. The statement that "to increase one's understanding, one can also look at the actual rates of return and volatility for the past 25 years" caught my eye. As most financial experts know, the risk-return tradeoff, along with correlation patterns (and much more), can change dramatically over time. To rely only on historical numbers without conducting a "what if" analysis (which may be a regular activity by various Texas plans) is ill-advised. Additionally, a decomposition of a period as long as 25 years into economic "regimes" goes a long way to avoid the artificial smoothing of risk measurements. Decisions based on metrics that lower risk may not always be the best ones, putting it mildly. However, to be fair, readers are urged to describe investment objectives in terms of return (absolute and relative) as well as the risk-adjusted rate of return. It would be nice to see this document beefed up to include extensive guidance on how various risks (economic, operational, default, etc) will be measured, monitored and managed.

In a separate article ("TRS switches key outside law firm," American Statesman, July 24, 2008), Elder writes about a recent change of fiduciary counsel that has apparently upset some trustees of the Teacher Retirement System of Texas. Elder describes the decision as "unusual" because of a close split vote and imminent plans to discuss "governance policies and ethics rules in September" (suggesting that some trustees favor continuity). One pension attorney with whom I recently spoke offers that a change of fiduciary counsel is not in and of itself a red flag.

In a lengthy comment, posted to Elder's blog, Public Capital, Mr. Jim Lee, Board Chairman of TRS writes that "8 trustees voted for or expressed support" for the hiring of a new outside legal expert and that trustees unanimously voted in favor of "diversification changes in April 2007." He adds that a variety of alternative investments "will make up potentially another 30 percent of the portfolio, up from approximately 4.5 percent" as part of a "very deliberate progression." Printed page 68 of the Comprehensive Annual Financial Report (for fiscal year ending on August 31, 2007) shows a private equity target allocation of 10% with a minimum range of 5% and a maximum range of 15%. The given target for hedge funds is 4% with a minimum range of 0% and a maximum range of 5%. The target for real estate is 10% with a minimum range of 5% and a maximum range of 15%.

As stated many times herein, alternative investments are not inherently "good" or "bad." However, as more U.S. and non-U.S. plans (public and corporate) invest in alternatives, it is extremely important to understand how decisions are made with respect to risk assessment, including valuation of "hard to value" assets. In the case of TRS, with a total fund value as of August 31, 2007 of $111.1 billion, the aforementioned annual filing cites the creation of a risk committee of the board to oversee "the overall risk of the portfolio" and establish "policies and practices to measure, manage and mitigate" exposures. A second initiative is the determination of "key risk parameters", derivative instrument limits and related counterparty credit ceilings, along with addressing liquidity, operational, settlement and legal uncertainties.

Editor's Note: The Teacher Retirement System of Texas was cited as "Public Pension Fund Investor of the Year" by Alternative Investment News, an Institutional Investor publication. Click to read the June 26, 2008 press release.

Sturm und Drang in Europe Over Pension Cuts

According to "Europe Tries to Handle Political Fallout of Pension Cuts" by Carter Dougherty (New York Times, August 5, 2008), we learn that the "third rail of politics" is clearly a global pain point for legislators. Changes that include raising the retirement age (such as in Italy and Germany) or extending the service requirements for government workers (such as in France) could be figuratively lethal for those in power. Dougherty warns that European workers have cause to worry, stating that "Forty percent of Belgians over 75" will "live in poverty by 2016" according to official statistics.

The article describes the creation of the Pensioner Party by a disgruntled German retiree, now focused on electing candidates who will advocate for a "more generous pension system." Google lists a URL for "The Pensioners Party," a UK registered political party with stated objectives that include the removal of means testing, payment of higher benefits and various other assorted freebies. Milton Friedman is calling out to us - "There is no free lunch." National Public Radio reports that an Israeli Pensioners Party is "shaking up the balance of power after winning seven seats in the country's parliament." See "In Israel, Pensioners Party Surprises With Gains" by Eric Westervelt, April 2, 2006.

Unfortunately, the "graying" of global populations and financial reality make it extremely difficult to do anything but acknowledge that change is imminent. The recission of hard-fought reform to avoid public outcry and political fallout is only going to exacerbate an already serious situation. Numerous countries, especially those with entrenched state plans, are being squeezed due to dramatic demographic shifts and benefit largess. In response, countries such as Sweden and Poland are urging individuals to participate in employee-directed plans. Germany has offered a tax incentive for private savers. One would hope that retirees, counting on promises made and possibly facing limited work opportunities, will have "enough" to survive. 

The political ramifications, in Europe, the United States and elsewhere, are huge. Do not be surprised if older voters are soon fighting at the ballot box with younger workers who feel the crush of large retirement plan IOUs. The sad truth is that real people are going to get hurt. That is why the crisis must be recognized and managed, sooner than later. Time is a luxury that few countries can afford.

Editor's Note: The American Association of Retired Persons (AARP) presents detailed information about retirement plan issues in a variety of countries. Click to access any or all of these AARP research publications (free to the public).

South Carolina Retirement System Forays Into Alternatives

Looking forward to "enhancing and diversifying" the $29 billion investment portfolio of the South Carolina Retirement System ("SCRS"), the South Carolina Retirement System Investment Commission awards a strategic mandate to the D.E. Shaw Group. According to the July 28, 2008 press release, capital will be allocated to an "array of absolute return, direct capital, private equity, real estate, long-only and 130/30 opportunities." (The SCRS website describes the Investment Commission as consisting of six "financial experts," having been created in 2005. A designated fiduciary for the SCRS, The Commission "is now responsible exclusively for investing and managing all assets of the SCRS.)

According to the "South Carolina Retirement System Investment Commission - Annual Investment Plan, Fiscal year 2007-2008" (last updated on July 19, 2007), an asset allocation has been approved that "is significantly different from the previous asset allocation." While equity cannot exceed 70 percent of the total investment portfolio at any time, alternatives are targeted to make up fifteen percent of assets, with five percent each in private equity, real estate and "Global Asset Allocation/Absolute Return" (GAA/AR). As shown in the table below, deviations might occur, in part perhaps because "it may take five years or longer before the total allocation to private equity is fully invested." (Private equity was just approved in November 2006, via a constitutional amendment, followed by a state referendum and ratification by the state legislature.)

Excerpt from the Annual Investment Plan: (%)
                          Sub-Asset Class   Target    Minimum     Maximum
                           GAA/AR      5           2           8
                         Private Equitiy      5           0         10
                          Real Estate      5           0         10


In reading further, investment managers are clearly held responsible for "compliance with all guidelines," using "then current market values" as a benchmark. Given that FAS 157 presents all sorts of mark-to-market (or mark- to-model) challenges for alternative fund managers, it will be informative to track how D.E. Shaw and others (a) satisfy SCRS guidelines while (b) helping this public plan giant embark on what might be construed by some as an "aggressive" foray into non-traditional strategies ("aggressive" in the sense that the minimum versus maximum totals could vary considerably, from 2  percent to 28 percent of total assets). Many questions arise, some of which are listed below.

  • Will the Investment Commission create and make public a separate risk management and valuation policy(ies) for alternative investments?
  • How will the use of derivative instruments for 130/30 strategies be tracked across managers in the context of asset allocation sub-sectors?
  • Why does the "Derivatives Review" exclude a statement about the monitoring of collateral by those fund managers who employ derivatives, direct and embedded? (The "March 31, 2008 Quarterly Report" does describe "continued development and refinement of risk control reports to monitor liquidity, leverage and counter-party risk.")
  • Will the cost of requiring "all managers" to "present book value and current market value for all securities held" on a quarterly basis turn out to be prohibitive and counterproductive? This assumes that "all securities" include those that, by their very nature, represent a bundle of "hard to value" economic rights. For example, will private equity managers be asked to get an independent, third-party appraisal of holdings every quarter? 
  • The aforementioned "March 31, 2008 Quarterly Report" states that "two private equity funds were approved totaling" 85 million Euros. Will these non-U.S. dollar investments be hedged? If so, how will fund managers be graded in terms of performance? Will fund managers be graded differently, depending on choice of hedging instrument and/or strategy?
  • How will an allocation to alternatives be determined in the context of variable funding ratios? (According to the "2007 Popular Annual Financial Report," actuarial assets as a percentage of actuarial accrued liabilities fell from 86 percent in July 2002 to 69.6 percent in July 2006. Noted is a 229.84 percent increase in cash and cash equivalents between 2006 and 2007 "until final allocations to the new asset classes could be implemented.")

Ideally, the Investment Commission will fully inform plan participants and other interested parties (state taxpayers for example) about their deep dive into alternative waters and related, but critical, issues such as valuation and risk management.