Bad Trading Controls Could Lead to Blow Ups


Recent hedge fund blow ups and mutual fund woes related to market timing and valuation may be a harbinger of things to come. Part of the problem has to do with trading controls that are either weak or non-existent. For institutional investors such as pension funds, this could spell disaster. According to President of Pension Governance, LLC, Dr. Susan M. Mangiero, CFA and Accredited Investment Fiduciary Analyst, "Pension funds have oversight responsibilities with respect to external money managers. They would be remiss not to review their service providers' trading controls. We have only to look at recent headlines for examples of how bad things can get when rogue individuals or computer problems are left unchecked."

The process used to determine limits, authorized persons, style drift early warning signals and liquidity traps are a few of the many topics to be discussed during an August 8, 2007 webinar (noon to 1:15 p.m. EST).

Entitled "Fiduciary Risk, Trading Controls and External Asset Manager Selection," the webinar boasts practitioners with trading desk and risk control experience, including moderator Dr. Susan M. Mangiero and expert guests - Mr. W. Anthony Turner, Principal, Financial Tracking, LLC and Mr. Gavin W. Watson, Business Manager for Asset Managers, Pensions and Insurance, RiskMetrics Group, Inc.

Persons who attend this 75-minute webinar will learn the following:

  • What Constitutes "Must Have" Elements of Effective Risk Management System
  • Ways to Detect Deviation from Management Style and/or Excess Position Concentration
  • Red Flags Regarding Possible Rogue Trading
  • Industry Best Practices for Trading Controls and Lessons Learned About What to Avoid

Pension Governance, LLC is registered with CFA Institute as an Approved Provider of professional development programs. This program is eligible for 1.5 PD credit hours as granted by CFA Institute.

For more information about the webinar or to register for a modest fee, visit http://pensiongovernance.com/webinars.php?PageId=58&PageSubId=59.

Public Pension Plans and Hedge Funds

Washington Post reporter Tomoeh Murakami Tse writes about the growing number of public pensions with current monies allocated to hedge funds or thinking about making an investment. She quotes Larry Swartz, executive director of the Fairfax County pension funds' board of directors as focused on many factors. "It's about developing a smoother return stream and managing the level of volatility in the retirement system year to year."

In stark contrast, Masachusetts Secretary of State William F. Galvin counters that "There's an inconsistency between the concept behind hedge funds, which is high-risk, high-return, and the concept behind pension funds, which is little risk, guaranteed return."

So who is right? Do hedge funds offer a way to reduce risk or do they instead add risk to a portfolio?

Without knowing more about a particular hedge fund's strategy and quality of  risk controls, it would be hard for anyone to make a blanket statement, one way or the other. What is important is process. Yours truly, Susan M. Mangiero, President of Pension Governance, an independent research and training company, is quoted as saying that survey results suggest that pension funds are too easy on hedge fund managers. "A pension fund manager really needs to ask some tough questions about how the hedge fund is valuing these assets." Importantly, it's not just valuation but a host of other factors that fall into the "must know" category before monies should be committed. See "Public Pension Systems Betting on Hedge Funds" by Tomoeh Murakami Tse , Washington Post, July 24, 2007.)

Valuation Awakening - Does the Emperor Have Clothes?

A mystery is unfolding. How can securities receive robust credit ratings and then turn out to have questionable value? Isn't there supposed to be continued oversight vis-a-vis an issuer's ability to pay? In "Moody's CFO sued over bond ratings; Firm gave too high ratings to sub-prime bonds," Business Times Singapore reports on a class action complaint by a private investor. Alleging that the CFO "failed to disclose that Moody's assigned 'excessively' high ratings to bonds that were backed by sub-prime mortgages," traders are now betting that additional suits against other rating agencies will follow. While a complaint in no way attaches guilt to the defendant, it will be interesting to learn more about the sub-prime bond ratings process if these cases proceed. (Some organizations post information on the website.)

Reuters reporter Neil Shah discusses some pitfalls when complex securities are "marked to model," including unrealistic assumptions that can skew results. "The worry is that well-heeled hedge funds, Wall Street proprietary trading desks and ratings agencies may be too optimistic when analyzing or valuing exotic mortgage investments. As a consequence, future drops in market prices may be more severe and possibly trigger panic selling by sophisticated investors." (Click here to read "Can Wall Street be trusted to value risky CDOs?" July 16, 2007)

As investors wait for the other shoe to drop, readers are reminded that process is everything. Unless a plan sponsor is prepared to ask tough questions about how an asset manager values the portfolio and components thereof, it may be a redux of "The Emperor Has No Clothes." Worse yet, individual fiduciaries could be exposed to allegations of breach for failure to effect proper due diligence." As an Accredited Valuation Analyst, my appraiser colleagues would no doubt concur with me. Valuation is a specialty and not to be taken lightly. As markets tank ("worst fall in nearly five months" on July 24) plan sponsors may find themselves in an uncomfortable double whammy position - plunging prices of traded equities and difficulty in unwinding "hard to value" instruments. (See "Markets tumble as credit concerns spread" by Michael Mackenzie and Saskia Scholtes, Financial Times, July 24, 2007)

Though written in 2004, "Asset Valuation: Not a Trivial Pursuit" by Dr. Susan M. Mangiero is still worth a read. Click here to download the article. (You can sign up for a free 14-day trial subscription and access the article for no charge.) Drop us an email if you want to know more about our training in the areas of risk and valuation for trustees, board members and investment committees. All inquiries will be kept private.

Pension Tension Blues - Musical Commentary

Pension Governance, LLC is proud to present a musical commentary for fiduciaries and beneficiaries alike. PENSION TENSION BLUES will make you laugh and cry at the same time.

Inspired by those who bring attention to serious issues through humor, Dr. Susan M. Mangiero, PG president and founder, and Mr. Steve Zelin, the Singing CPA, have co-created a (hopefully) memorable ballad about the state of affairs in pension land. Mangiero adds "Pension Governance, LLC is committed to helping fiduciaries do a better job of identifying, measuring and managing financial risk. We hope the song is a friendly reminder of the hard work ahead."

The decision to use satire is in no way meant to impugn the thousands of hard-working fiduciaries but rather to draw attention to areas where some plans can make improvements.

Click here to listen to a one-verse sampler with a play time of slightly over one minute.

Click here to listen to the full five-verse song with a play time of just over four minutes.

If you want to sing along, here are the lyrics.

PENSION TENSION BLUES
Words by Susan M. Mangiero and Steven Zelin
Music by Steven Zelin
Copyright 2007 Pension Governance, LLC and Steven Zelin.
All rights reserved.
71 bpm

I work for a corporation. I’ve been there 30 years
But my pension plan went bankrupt;
It has left me in tears
They’re telling me now I gotta work till I’m 432
I got the pension tension bliss suspension nobody ever mentioned blues

I signed that stupid paper 100 years ago
It said if I worked forever, they’d give me lots of dough
I wish I knew what happed; I can’t find many clues
I got the pension tension bliss suspension nobody ever mentioned blues

I thought the plan was looked at by a bunch of CPAs
Thought they said it all looked just fine, then gave their Okay’s
But I guess something was happening outside their view, now
I got the pension tension bliss suspension nobody ever mentioned blues

They invested in some hedge funds and paid up lots of fees
They gambled all my money, with no guarantees, now
I’ve got nothin’ for tomorrow and you know I’m gonna sue
I got the pension tension bliss suspension nobody ever mentioned blues

Guess I should have realized my account was discretionary
Now all I got is these papers. What’s a fiduciary?

I’m putting all my stuff on e-bay, I gotta raise some cash
My piggy bank is empty, my portfolio has crashed
I read that Social Security has gone down the tubes
I got the pension tension bliss suspension nobody ever mentioned blues
I got the pension tension blues
I got the pension tension blues

Two Hedge Funds Report Assets Are Nearly Gone

           

Wall Street Journal journalists Kate Kelly, Serena Ng and Michael Hudson report that two once-large hedge funds are barely worth the paper that documents their existence. According to a letter to investors, parent Bear Stearns has already committed $1.6 billion in a "collateralized repo line to the High-Grade Fund" but cautions that prices are dropping fast. At the heart of the matter is the challenge to "place values on assets tied to subprime home loans" that are not actively bought and sold. (See "Subprime Uncertainty Fans Out - Bear's Hedge Funds Are Basically Worthless; More Bond Fire Sales," Wall Street Journal, July 18, 2007.) 

As an accredited appraiser, I'm here to say that there is an entire industry of valuation professionals who eat, live and breathe process, standards and methodologies. In fact, following the U.S. savings and loan debacle in the early 1980's and the 1989 enactment of the Financial Institutions Reform, Recovery and Enforcement Act ("FIRREA"), Congress essentially sanctioned the work of several entities - Appraiser Qualifications Board and the Appraisal Standards Board. For more information about the Appraisal Foundation and its history, click here.

So the hullabaloo about valuation problems (likely the tip of the iceberg) is extremely important but ignores a critical point.

In general (and not necessarily germane to this particular pair of hedge funds), a failure of institutional investors to oversee who renders value numbers, how, and on what basis, opens the door to "anything goes." Independent assessments of models and processes are arguably more important than ever before. If plan sponsors feel uncomfortable with the rigors of valuation and risk management, hire experts to help. Make sure that they know what they are doing. Ask whether they have specialized credentials and experience.

Why is valuation so important? Numbers drive nearly EVERYTHING financial,  from performance reporting to risk management to determination of fees and asset allocation decisions. GIGO - Garbage in, garbage out - could be very hard to explain as an acceptable basis for good decision-making.

If you are interested in reading a June 4, 2007 interview I gave to Securities Industry News about hedge fund valuation, click here.

If You Need a Chuckle, Sing "Happy Birthday SOX"

Click here for a video homage to Sarbanes-Oxley. Courtesy of the Singing CPA, Steve Zelin, and Approva Corporation, our senses are treated to a "poke" at one of the most profound laws in terms of corporate spending and (hopefully) improved best practices.

We just discovered Approva's website and blog, Audit Trail.  (We've added a link to the blog. See "Links" on the left hand side.)

We first read about Steve in CFO Magazine. Click here to read the online version. After several calls and meetings, we decided to work with Steve. The result? A new song entitled "Pension Tension Blues."

Coming VERY soon...

Tags:

Hedge Fund Returns - Illusion or Fact?

 

Financial News reporter William Hutchings writes that more than a few hedge funds trading in "illiquid" securities engage in smoothing of returns. Citing research conducted by his firm, RiskData CEO Olivier Le Marois says that "instead of following a mark-to-market process to price securities based on what the market is giving for the securities, they are implementing a subjective process of evaluation." While an independent third party could objectively provide an opinion of value or vet the process in place, smoothing empowers the portfolio manager to decide "the value of the securities he is trading." As an aside, for those who invest in hedge funds, consider how many Private Placement Memorandums give a manager full discretion over what and how often positions are valued. (Click here to read "A third of funds hide their true volatility" by William Hutchings, Financial News, July 12, 2007.) 

RiskData earlier announced that they would market something called the Bias Ratio. Developed by one of their fund of hedge fund clients, Protege Partners, this approach examines "month-to-month changes in net asset value" against various statistical return patterns, by asset class. (See "Risk Manager Markets Method To Monitor Hedge Fund Results" by Michael A. Pollock, Smart Money, July 3, 2007.)

On June 27, we wrote that the SEC intends to query hedge funds about their approach to valuing "hard-to-value" assets. Given recent headlines about billion dollar value mistakes, can pension fiduciaries afford not to ask tough questions about process? We repeat what we said then. "In the event of an asset write-down, fiduciaries are going to be grilled about the extent to which they vetted the valuation policies and procedures of hedge funds in which they invested. Absent any documentation to explain the (hopefully thorough) due diligence process they employed, pension decision-makers will squirm. A pretty picture - NOT!" (Click here to read "SEC Announces Investigation of Hedge Funds' Valuation Methodologies.") 

In the event that a pension fund hires a consultant or fund of funds manager, are they digging deep into valuation issues? Can they? (As an accredited appraiser, I can vouch for the rigor of training and experiential requirements as regards valuation.) If they don't "own" the valuation oversight duty, who does? At a recent hedge fund valuation workshop I co-led, a colleague read from a fund administrator's client contract, highlighting the section that disclaims responsibility to vet valuation numbers provided by the hedge fund. You often find similar disclaimers from prime brokers and custodians, forcing pension funds to ask - "Who is paying attention?"

If true that valuation numbers from hedge funds are passed through the hands of multiple parties and no one is asking rigorous questions about their quality, aren't pension fiduciaries greatly exposed to liability? The issue is made more complex when various service providers such as consultants play the role of fiduciary.

Answers to questions about valuation should be more than an optical illusion.

Free Pension Subscription for Telling Us What You Think

If you have two or three hours to learn more about helpful pension resources, we'd like to hear what you think about www.pensiongovernance.com, this blog and our forthcoming site, www.pensionlitigationdata.com.

If you are interested, click here to send an email. We'll ask you a few questions and then set you up to test the sites for content and ease-of-use. Following a short assessment on your part, we'll provide a free six-week subscription to www.pensiongovernance.com. Click here to read about the many benefits of being a Pension Governance subscriber.

We will hold this offer open until we have completed our assessment. We reserve the right to rescind the offer at any time (except to those already working with us as testers).

We look forward to hearing from you!

Pension Governance, LLC Offers Webinars for Pension Fiduciaries about Hedge Fund Risk Management

Hedge funds are increasingly being used as part of a pension’s liability-driven investing (“LDI”) strategy or to potentially diversify a portfolio. At the same time, several recent hedge fund blow-ups, along with their prominent presence in corporate boardrooms via activist investing, has regulators and institutional investors more than a little concerned. Pension fiduciaries must demonstrate a rigorous due diligence in their selection process or risk breach of duty allegations. 

In an effort to assist plan sponsors, Pension Governance, LLC continues its Hedge Fund ToolboxSM series with two more online events this week. Join pension decision-makers for an engaging and timely discussion about the use of leverage, derivatives and financial risk controls (July 10, 2007) and operational risk (July 12, 2007).

According to series creator, Dr. Susan M. Mangiero, CFA, Accredited Valuation Analyst, Financial Risk Manager and Accredited Investment Fiduciary Analyst, "There is a sea change underway with respect to the use of hedge funds by pension plans. While increased monies to alternative fund managers may make perfect sense in some situations, a lack of understanding about financial and trading risks could spell disaster for retirement plans. We help plan sponsors interview a hedge fund’s risk manager as a more complete gauge of potential problems. If that function does not exist, that could be a red flag. However, the existence of a risk management function in and of itself does not mean that it is an effective safeguard against runaway losses. Personal and professional fiduciary liability exposure, duty to oversee and an increasingly complex investment landscape makes this a particularly challenging time for plan sponsors.” President of Pension Governance, LLC, Mangiero adds that "Our goal is to help fiduciaries with research, process checks and training to thwart trouble and help to promote best practices."

For more information, click here. Recordings of all six webinars are available for a modest fee to non-subscribers. To order past webinars, click here.

Pension Governance, LLC is registered with CFA Institute as an Approved Provider of professional development programs. Each program qualifies for 1.5 PD credits.

About Pension Governance, LLC:
Pension Governance, LLC (www.pensiongovernance.com) is an independent research, analysis, training and publishing company, emphasizing investment fiduciary risk management. Covered topics include fee structure, liability-driven investing, controls, valuation, alternatives and fiduciary best practices for board members, CFOs, treasurers and their attorneys, consultants and banks.

Media Sponsors:
Pension Governance, LLC is proud to have Albourne Village, Hedgeco.net, Lipper Hedge World, and the National Association of Certified Valuation Analysts as media sponsors.

Disclosure and Fiduciary Implications - Big Problem?

Disclosure is fast becoming the proverbial four letter word in pension fiduciary land. Critical questions abound.

  • How much information do pension fiduciaries need in order to make an "informed" decision?
  • Who should provide that information, how often and in what form?
  • Is there a danger of having "too much" information?
  • What does the law currently require?
  • What information is currently available and to whom?
  • Is there an industry consensus about what constitutes "good quality" information?
  • What are the consequences of "incomplete" disclosure and are they equally unpleasant for plan participants, shareholders, taxpayers and plan sponsors?
  • What current roadblocks stand in the way of "better" disclosure (once that term is defined)?

 The topic of disclosure and transparency is as broad as it is critical to good plan governance. We've written extensively about this topic as applied to investment risk and will continue to do so. Click here if you would like to receive copies of some of our many articles. After hours of work, our research librarians are completing an Ebook on the topic of pension information resources. Click here if you want to be notified of its publication.

With a copyright date of July 4, 2007 (symbolic perhaps?), independent fiduciary Matthew D. Hutcheson addresses the topic of 401(k) plan information in "Retirement Plan Disclosure: A Declaration of Ethical Principles and Legal Obligations." Not known for being shy about his point of view, Hutcheson makes a compelling case for additional, complete and user-friendly disclosure about fees and related compensation arrangements.

“The Department (Department of Labor) emphasizes that it expects a fiduciary, prior to entering into a performance based compensation arrangement, to fully understand the compensation formula and the risks associated with this manner of compensation, following disclosure by the investment manager of all relevant information pertaining to the proposed arrangement. [Advisory Opinion Letter 1989 WL 435076 (ERISA)]

Thus, for a fiduciary to know all relevant information ahead of time, service providers must disclose all relevant information prior to entering into an engagement. The failure to disclose all relevant information effectively forces fiduciaries to violate the law unknowingly. The SEC has taken action against various service providers of 401(k) plans because of hidden compensation arrangements which obscured relevant information to fiduciaries. "

Hutcheson provides solid legal and regulatory evidence in support of full disclosure of all types of fees and related non-fee agreements. In addition, he reminds readers that fees impact economic performance and are therefore integral to any kind of investment decision-making. Would we buy a car or get surgery without enough information to gauge potential risk and rewards? 

His message comes at an opportune moment to begin a national "no holds barred" conversation about fees, fiduciary duty and protection of plan participants.  Countless companies are switching from defined benefit plans to defined contribution structures. In loco parentis NOT.  While employers transfer more responsibility to employees, research suggests that individuals are saving much less than is minimally needed to secure a reasonable lifestyle in retirement. Add to that an uncertain outlook for the long-term viability of Social Security and Medicare (and international equivalents to the U.S. post-employment safety net) and policy-makers are starting to take notice. Not a day too soon for many folks. If you think a train is about to crash, why wait to seek preventative measures?

Hutcheson concludes that "industry and regulators must either: (a) Return to the model originally contemplated under ERISA, in which recognized fiduciaries would make all decisions regarding trust assets; or (b) Empower participants to make their own individual decisions with respect to the assets in their personal tax-deferred 401(k) accounts. If the chosen course is to return to the original intent of ERISA, then fiduciaries of 401(k) plans must be armed with all relevant information necessary to construct a low-cost prudent portfolio for the benefit of the participants. Alternatively, if the chosen course is to enable those holding tax-deferred investments to, in essence, serve as their own mini-fiduciaries, then they must be afforded the information necessary to construct the same sort of prudent, low cost personal portfolio."

Those who advocate individual responsibility, and therefore favor the idea of choice at the employee level, get push-back from some that Sally or Joe "Every Worker" is unlikely to delve deep with respect to investment issues. Yet people make decisions for themselves every day - choosing a doctor, buying a car, voting, changing jobs and so on. But, for argument's sake, let's agree that a "mini fiduciarization" of the workforce is impractical, infeasible or otherwise unappealing. What then?

If only plan sponsors are to decide on all things 401(k), should we not be seriously engaged in identifying what makes for a "top quality" fiduciary? Besides access to good and complete information about fees and other pecuniary arrangements, we've long advocated a requirement for "suitable" qualifications (education and experience) before someone makes multi-million decisions with other people's money. To be clear, the use of the term "require" here refers to that which is self-imposed by plan sponsors, perhaps with the help of various industry and fiduciary organizations. Mandatory requirements would be problemmatic and could exacerbate the situation. (Our firm, Pension Governance, LLC provides fiduciary training, process checks and research in the areas of investment risk and valuation. Part of a growing industry to help fiduciaries do a better job, we complement work done by our partners but always with the same message. Good process is everything!)

On the topic of information, the more voices the better as long as it gets us to an enlightened place. This means that "good" disclosure would be seen as a value-enhancing tool for all concerned parties, not another costly, "go nowhere" exercise.

To read the full text of Hutcheson's article, click here. You will be taken to the Social Science Research Network site. Pension Governance, LLC is a proud sponsor of four SSRN sections. Click here to learn more about our sponsorship of a pension risk management section (created just for us) and a research section about mutual funds and hedge funds. Click here to learn more about our sponsorship of a research section about employment law and litigation and a research section about corporate governance.

For further reading, click on the title of each item listed below:

"Who Wants to be a Fiduciary Anyhow?"

"Do You Know the True Cost of Your Retirement Plan?"

"Searching for Hidden Treasure"

"Do We Need an Easy Button for Fiduciaries?"

"401(k) Fee Analysis - Who Benefits?"

Is Pension Governance a Stretch or a Rewarding Practice?

I love the challenge of an intermediate/advanced yoga class and attend as often as my schedule permits. Executing splits and flips like Gumby (am I dating myself here?) comes easy to me so the appeal is likely due to my comfort level in taking stretches to the limit.  Not surprisingly, many of us indulge in hobbies and sports that exploit an existing aptitude or strength. Is this a coincidence?

Do we adopt activities that help us enhance what we already do relatively well ("preaching to the choir")? If true, does that mean that companies with anemic corporate governance policies and practices are unlikely to "walk the pension governance walk" because it's too hard or different from the comfortable status quo?

It's a provocative idea.

At a time when new accounting rules and regulations have the potential to materially impact share price, it would be nice to know if corporate governance precedes pension governance or if the two activities are independent of each other. Indeed, quantifying how much companies care about their stewardship responsibilities is an attention-grabber.

Mounting evidence suggests that a solid reputation matters to the bottom line. According to a July 9, 2007 Business Week article, corporate reputation that is "able to deliver growth, attract top talent, and avoid ethical mishaps" may explain "much of the 30%-to-70% gap between the book value of most companies and their market capitalizations." This statement ignores some of the measurement issues that determine the book value - market value gap but merits review. Click here to access the article. (Registration may be required.)

  • How much is a good name worth and what exact governance policies and procedures tend to drive up stock prices?
  • Do investors care more about compliance or do they reward going beyond what is minimally required by law?
  • Is the relationship symmetric in the sense that stock issued by corporate baddies should be avoided at all costs while "hero equity" makes for good buys?

Wall Street Journal reporter Phred Dvorak quotes CEO of GovernanceMetrics International, Howard Sherman, as saying that "Good governance translates into trust, and trust determines what you're willing to pay for a company's shares." That makes sense but a further read of the July 2, 2007 article informs readers that ratings can and do vary. Audit Integrity and other rivals end up with a different "you go gal" list, in part because they employ alternative measures. Click here to read "Finding the Best Measure Of 'Corporate Citizenship' Governance Trackers Use Various Rating Criteria, Leaving Users Confused." (Registration may be required.)

One thing is certain. The business of governance is far from trivial. In a July 2, 2007 press release, Ethan Berman, chief executive officer of RiskMetrics explains the rationale for its announced acquisition of the Center for Research & Analysis ("CFRA"). Proud owner of proxy advisory firm Institutional Shareholder Services ("ISS"), RiskMetrics will name CFRA CEO Rich Leggett as head of ISS. Click here to read the full text announcement.

Note: In the spirit of full disclosure, Pension Governance, LLC currently resells CFRA products, including its PPM (Pension Portfolio Monitor) product. Click here to learn more. We are also developing a three-day in-person workshop about pension risk management with RiskMetrics. Click here to get more details about the debut September program.

Revolutionary Pensions

According to americanrevolution.org, colonial soldiers (and their widows) received pensions until about 1832 when benefits were stripped. For history buffs, the site's author encourages a reading of the archived details.

"All of the Revolutionary War Pensions have been abstracted and are at most Archives. These are large books and include a number of volumes.  Also, the Federal Archives have the original pensions on microfilm....reading these (as opposed to the abstracts) is quite interesting, because of details of exciting battles, and personal information."

For more information about the history of this important U.S. holiday (no Virginia, it's not just a sale day at the mall), check out the following sites.

History of the Fourth - PBS.org

Fourth of July - Wikipedia.com

Today in History - Library of Congress

Fourth of July - HistoryChannel.com